Polymarket myths busted: what prediction markets actually tell you — and what they don’t
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“A Polymarket price equals truth” is a seductive headline—and wrong. A binary share trading at $0.72 on a question about a U.S. political outcome means the market currently prices the event with roughly a 72% probability, because prices on the platform map directly to probabilities between $0.00 and $1.00 USDC. But probability is not the […]